Figueirense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
68 | 46 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 0
FFL
53%
25%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
FFL
2 - 0
BRU
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
FFL
17%
22%
62%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TUB
1 - 2
FFL
14%
20%
66%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
HER
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
JEC
78%
17%
5%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 1
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 0
JEC
73%
18%
8%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
JEC
1 - 0
BRU
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |