Figueirense vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
2 - 0
FFL
16%
23%
60%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MET
2 - 3
FFL
14%
21%
65%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
FFL
25%
26%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 1
TUB
78%
17%
6%
|
70 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
AVA
0 - 0
FFL
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
GUR
1 - 0
JEC
15%
24%
61%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
LIT
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
3 - 1
GUR
67%
22%
11%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
BRU
0 - 0
JEC
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
REC
63%
23%
14%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |