Figueirense vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 4
FFL
11%
20%
69%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
1 - 5
FFL
11%
18%
71%
|
77 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
4 - 0
BRU
86%
11%
4%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 1
FFL
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
5 - 4
CRI
73%
17%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CRI
3 - 0
HER
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
HER
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
HER
2 - 2
CHA
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
0 - 1
HER
32%
25%
44%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
HER
2 - 3
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |