Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FFL
1 - 3
CHA
23%
27%
51%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 2
FFL
21%
24%
54%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
FFL
0 - 0
CRI
58%
23%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
FFL
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 0
FFL
55%
23%
21%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
MET
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
HER
78%
17%
5%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
HER
1 - 0
MAR
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
HER
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 3
ECP
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |