Figueirense vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
17%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.5%
6.7%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
JEC
1 - 0
FFL
26%
25%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 0
INT
73%
19%
9%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 2
FFL
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
FFL
1 - 1
AVA
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BRU
1 - 1
FFL
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
HER
84%
13%
3%
|
45 | 79 | 34 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
JEC
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
HER
1 - 3
INT
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
AVA
0 - 1
HER
82%
14%
4%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
HER
1 - 2
BRU
26%
25%
48%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |