Figueirense vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 0
FFL
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
SCI
2 - 4
FFL
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FFL
1 - 0
FLU
35%
24%
41%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
GOI
2 - 1
FFL
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
FFL
0 - 2
CRZ
40%
25%
36%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 5
FLU
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAR
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 0
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 0
FOR
65%
21%
14%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FOR
2 - 1
SAO
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |