Figueirense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
PAL
1 - 2
FFL
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
FFL
2 - 1
AMF
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
GRE
1 - 3
FFL
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CEA
1 - 1
FFL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FFL
0 - 0
COT
38%
26%
37%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 2
VAS
28%
26%
47%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
COT
0 - 0
BAH
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2011 |
BAH
0 - 0
CRZ
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 2
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
BAH
3 - 2
AVA
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |