Figueirense vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
59.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
FFL
1 - 1
HER
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
JEC
0 - 0
FFL
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 0
FFL
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FFL
1 - 1
ECS
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
FFL
0 - 0
LON
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CRI
2 - 0
CAC
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 56 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BRA
5 - 1
CRI
56%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2024 |
CRI
0 - 3
FLA
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
CRI
2 - 4
COR
42%
28%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
FLU
0 - 0
CRI
57%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |