Figueirense vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
SAO
2 - 1
FFL
63%
21%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
0 - 0
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
2 - 0
CRI
57%
23%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2004 |
GRE
2 - 2
FFL
49%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
FFL
2 - 2
VAS
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 1
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 3
COT
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
JUV
1 - 0
COT
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2004 |
COT
1 - 2
COR
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
CRZ
0 - 3
COT
73%
17%
10%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |