Figueirense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 0
FFL
83%
11%
7%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
POR
0 - 0
FFL
65%
19%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
FFL
0 - 0
GUA
35%
26%
39%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
VAS
2 - 0
FFL
86%
9%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
SAO
5 - 1
FFL
86%
10%
5%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
BOT
2 - 2
SCI
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
CRZ
0 - 0
BOT
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 1
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SAN
2 - 1
BOT
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOT
44%
26%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |