Catarinense 1 Final
Global 1-5
Figueirense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVA
3 - 0
FFL
36%
25%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 1
JEC
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
JEC
1 - 1
FFL
29%
24%
47%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 2
CAM
89%
8%
3%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
BRU
1 - 2
FFL
10%
18%
72%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
AVA
3 - 0
FFL
36%
25%
38%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVA
39%
24%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MET
2 - 5
AVA
21%
22%
57%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 0
JEC
58%
22%
21%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |