Figueirense vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Figueirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
CAM
4 - 2
FFL
15%
23%
62%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
BRA
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
PPE
0 - 1
FFL
44%
25%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
FFL
3 - 1
VIL
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
JUV
2 - 0
FFL
28%
27%
46%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
ARN
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ARN
1 - 4
BRA
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
ARN
69%
20%
11%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
ARN
0 - 2
JUV
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
FOR
3 - 0
ARN
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |