Fidenza vs Thermal Abano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 2
FID
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FID
1 - 1
RIB
43%
25%
32%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CLO
1 - 0
FID
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
FID
9 - 0
RIC
75%
17%
7%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
IMO
1 - 1
FID
67%
19%
15%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Thermal Abano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
THE
1 - 0
SCA
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 1
THE
16%
20%
64%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
IMO
2 - 3
THE
37%
25%
38%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
THE
3 - 0
CLO
64%
20%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 3
THE
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |