Fidelis Andria vs Acerrana 1926 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
11.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1872%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
1º
15º
4º
29
8º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 69 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
43 | 64 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 41 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 26 |
17º
|
45% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
8% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
89% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
3% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 18% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
AMA
1 - 1
FIA
20%
25%
55%
|
56 | 16 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FIA
2 - 1
ISC
53%
25%
22%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
FIA
2 - 3
VIR
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
FIA
1 - 0
FCF
77%
17%
7%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SSM
0 - 1
FIA
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Acerrana 1926
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ACE
2 - 2
NAR
18%
23%
59%
|
17 | 58 | 41 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
FCF
1 - 2
ACE
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ACE
2 - 3
NOC
20%
25%
55%
|
16 | 52 | 36 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UGE
0 - 0
ACE
48%
21%
31%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 2
MAT
16%
21%
64%
|
16 | 53 | 37 | 0 |