Fidelis Andria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
USV
1 - 0
FIA
16%
25%
59%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FIA
0 - 1
SIR
40%
27%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NUO
2 - 1
FIA
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 0
AKR
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FIA
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MAT
5 - 1
MES
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
46%
25%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
MES
62%
23%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
MES
1 - 0
MON
43%
26%
32%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MES
1 - 2
CAT
24%
28%
49%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |