Fidelis Andria vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
26.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
15º
4º
35
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 69 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 67 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 66 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 62 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 54 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 49 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 46 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 46 |
9º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 44 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 43 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 42 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 33 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 32 |
16º
|
28.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
49% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 22 |
18º
|
67.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
88.5% | 48% |
|
Mid-table
|
8.5% | 52% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FIA
1 - 0
ASF
60%
24%
17%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
FIA
1 - 0
PAL
54%
26%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
FIA
46%
28%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
FIA
1 - 0
VIR
36%
28%
36%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
FBC
1 - 6
FIA
32%
29%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAT
1 - 1
NAR
36%
27%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FCF
3 - 0
MAT
14%
21%
66%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
NOC
2 - 2
MAT
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
MAT
1 - 0
UGE
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
ACC
0 - 2
MAT
26%
24%
50%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |