Fidelis Andria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
COS
2 - 0
FIA
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
FIA
0 - 0
LEC
35%
28%
37%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
USC
2 - 1
FIA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
FIA
1 - 1
BRE
28%
28%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
RAV
3 - 0
FIA
55%
25%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1998 |
ASL
0 - 0
CES
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1998 |
REG
2 - 1
ASL
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1998 |
BAR
2 - 0
ASL
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1998 |
ASL
0 - 0
BRE
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1998 |
ASL
1 - 2
VER
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |