Fidelis Andria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
PIS
1 - 1
FIA
37%
30%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
FIA
0 - 3
PRG
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
FIA
1 - 1
COS
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
CHI
1 - 1
FIA
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
VER
0 - 0
FIA
59%
24%
17%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 0
AVE
53%
26%
22%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
COS
1 - 0
ASL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAL
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
VNZ
0 - 0
ASL
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
ASL
4 - 3
CES
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |