Fidelis Andria vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
ASM
1 - 2
FIA
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
FIA
2 - 1
TAR
59%
24%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
PAG
1 - 1
FIA
29%
28%
44%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
FIA
1 - 1
FCC
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
FIA
62%
23%
15%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 2
USV
78%
16%
7%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
LEC
23%
26%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 0
CAS
28%
26%
47%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 0
PAG
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
CAS
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |