Fidelis Andria vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
0 - 0
FIA
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FIA
2 - 0
MAR
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 1
FIA
51%
23%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
FIA
0 - 0
ASM
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
FIA
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 1
MON
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
CAS
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 1
LCR
68%
20%
12%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
AKR
0 - 4
CAS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAR
72%
20%
9%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |