Coppa Italia 1/32
Global 5-3
Fidelis Andria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1996 |
FIA
0 - 2
JUV
14%
24%
63%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
FIA
3 - 0
USF
27%
25%
49%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 1996 |
GEN
2 - 0
FIA
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1996 |
FIA
1 - 0
CES
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 May. 1996 |
PES
5 - 1
FIA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1997 |
PES
1 - 2
PAD
64%
20%
16%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
PAD
1 - 1
COS
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1997 |
BAR
3 - 1
PAD
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
PAD
0 - 1
CHI
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1997 |
GEN
2 - 1
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |