Fidelis Andria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
36.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
LAZ
3 - 2
FIA
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1991 |
FIA
0 - 2
LAZ
25%
26%
49%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
FIA
2 - 0
BOL
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
BOL
2 - 3
FIA
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +2 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1992 |
PES
1 - 1
PAD
63%
23%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1992 |
PAD
1 - 1
PIA
50%
29%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1992 |
MOD
1 - 1
PAD
51%
28%
21%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1992 |
PAD
1 - 0
CES
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 1992 |
PAL
2 - 0
PAD
46%
29%
25%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |