Fidelis Andria vs Melfi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fidelis Andria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MON
0 - 0
FIA
22%
23%
55%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
FIA
1 - 2
ISC
64%
21%
16%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
USF
1 - 0
FIA
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FIA
0 - 1
MES
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
AKR
0 - 2
FIA
46%
23%
31%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Melfi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 2
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
4 - 1
ASM
66%
22%
13%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
ASM
32%
28%
40%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
ASM
0 - 1
LEC
17%
23%
60%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
ASM
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |