Europa League 1/32
Global 1-5
FH Hafnarfjordur vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FH Hafnarfjordur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
FHH
4 - 1
FRA
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2004 |
GRI
0 - 4
FHH
28%
26%
47%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
DUN
1 - 2
FHH
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
FHH
2 - 2
IAA
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
IBV
1 - 3
FHH
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
UNT
0 - 2
AAA
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
AAA
4 - 0
KSC
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 2
AAA
38%
24%
38%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
RWA
1 - 1
AAA
35%
24%
41%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2004 |
AAA
1 - 1
EIN
39%
27%
34%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |