Norden vs Wiltz 71 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
62.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 3
FFN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FFN
3 - 1
UKT
52%
20%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
FFN
0 - 3
UME
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -3 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FFN
3 - 5
ERP
34%
22%
44%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SWI
4 - 0
FFN
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Wiltz 71
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
0 - 3
RUM
44%
24%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
WIL
3 - 2
FCR
41%
23%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ERP
0 - 2
WIL
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 0
WIL
22%
24%
54%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
USS
2 - 0
WIL
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |