Norden vs Victoria Rosport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
75.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.5%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FFN
1 - 1
BAS
39%
24%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MER
3 - 1
FFN
19%
19%
62%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -3 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
FFN
3 - 1
JGI
82%
11%
8%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
1 - 4
FFN
21%
19%
60%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 5
FFN
26%
20%
54%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Victoria Rosport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 1
VIC
30%
24%
46%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 1
WIL
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
PRO
1 - 1
VIC
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 3
UNA
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
VIC
3 - 1
TPE
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +2 |