Norden vs US Mondorf les Bains analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
27.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ERP
1 - 2
FFN
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FFN
2 - 0
JEU
35%
25%
40%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FFN
0 - 2
CSP
44%
24%
33%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FFN
1 - 3
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FFN
0 - 3
CSM
71%
17%
11%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
US Mondorf les Bains
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
USM
1 - 1
CSP
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
1 - 3
USM
61%
22%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
USM
3 - 1
CSM
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
UNI
3 - 1
USM
70%
19%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
USM
4 - 0
FCA
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | +2 |