Norden vs US Esch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
MAM
3 - 2
FFN
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
UKT
3 - 4
FFN
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
FFN
2 - 0
JEU
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
USH
4 - 0
FFN
62%
20%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
FFN
6 - 1
URE
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
US Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 2
AVE
74%
16%
10%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ESC
3 - 1
UME
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
BET
0 - 2
ESC
9%
17%
74%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
KOE
1 - 4
ESC
14%
20%
66%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ESC
8 - 0
OBE
88%
9%
3%
|
49 | 19 | 30 | 0 |