Norden vs Una Strassen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
64.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
JUS
0 - 4
FFN
54%
22%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FFN
5 - 0
COL
91%
6%
2%
|
42 | 12 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
FFN
50%
23%
27%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FFN
2 - 0
MER
59%
20%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
JGI
0 - 0
FFN
14%
16%
69%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Una Strassen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
F91
4 - 3
UNA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 1
PRO
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DIF
2 - 0
UNA
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UNA
0 - 0
VIC
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
USM
1 - 1
UNA
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |