Norden vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
JEU
0 - 2
FFN
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COL
1 - 2
FFN
7%
12%
81%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
FFN
1 - 1
BBM
37%
24%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
UME
2 - 1
FFN
44%
24%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FFN
0 - 2
RUM
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
ERP
1 - 2
SWI
41%
24%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
YBD
1 - 6
SWI
20%
22%
58%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SWI
3 - 5
JEU
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 1
UME
52%
23%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
BBM
1 - 1
SWI
54%
24%
23%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |