Norden vs Obercorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
37.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FFN
3 - 1
WIL
29%
22%
49%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
KOE
0 - 1
FFN
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
FFN
1 - 3
ERP
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
YBD
1 - 4
FFN
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FFN
1 - 0
UNA
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Obercorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
OBE
2 - 2
MAM
68%
19%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
WIL
6 - 1
OBE
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
OBE
1 - 3
VIC
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
KOE
4 - 1
OBE
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
OBE
0 - 4
MON
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | -1 |