Norden vs Mamer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
KAE
2 - 1
FFN
76%
15%
10%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FFN
2 - 4
ETZ
18%
21%
60%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
FFN
3 - 1
WIL
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
GRE
1 - 3
FFN
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FFN
3 - 1
UKT
52%
20%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mamer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
MAM
3 - 4
SWI
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
JEU
4 - 3
MAM
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
MAM
2 - 5
BBM
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
UME
2 - 3
MAM
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
KAE
2 - 0
MAM
79%
13%
8%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -2 |