Norden vs Mamer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
23%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
UME
3 - 1
FFN
30%
24%
46%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 4
FFN
14%
20%
67%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
FFN
2 - 2
USS
56%
21%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ATE
0 - 3
FFN
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FFN
1 - 2
MON
66%
19%
15%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mamer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAM
5 - 0
AVE
77%
15%
8%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
USS
0 - 2
MAM
55%
22%
23%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2017 |
MAM
3 - 1
ATE
52%
23%
25%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MON
1 - 3
MAM
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
MAM
1 - 2
FCR
21%
23%
57%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |