Norden vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
44%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SWI
4 - 0
FFN
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FFN
2 - 1
JEU
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
RUM
2 - 0
FFN
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BBM
1 - 0
FFN
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ETZ
5 - 0
FFN
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ERP
0 - 1
USS
47%
23%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
ERP
0 - 2
DIF
9%
14%
77%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SWI
5 - 3
ERP
53%
21%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
ERP
1 - 0
KAE
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ERP
2 - 1
MAM
52%
23%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |