Norden vs Erpeldange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FFN
2 - 1
USS
49%
23%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SWI
2 - 0
FFN
34%
24%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
TPE
4 - 1
FFN
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
FFN
2 - 2
MON
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JEU
1 - 2
FFN
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Erpeldange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ERP
1 - 2
FCR
37%
23%
40%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAM
0 - 1
ERP
57%
22%
22%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ERP
2 - 3
KAE
23%
24%
54%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ERP
1 - 0
AVE
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ERP
2 - 2
TPE
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | 0 |