Norden vs Avenir Beggen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
USS
1 - 1
FFN
52%
22%
26%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
FFN
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FFN
1 - 0
ATE
43%
23%
35%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FFN
1 - 4
RAC
26%
22%
52%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FFN
3 - 2
FCR
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Avenir Beggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
AVE
2 - 3
UME
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 5
USS
18%
22%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ATE
1 - 1
AVE
74%
16%
10%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 2
MON
27%
24%
49%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
FCR
3 - 2
AVE
79%
13%
7%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | 0 |