FF Jaro Pietarsaari vs TPS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
2º
39
2º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 58 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 22 |
9º
|
91% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
92% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FF Jaro Pietarsaari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
FFJ
0 - 0
JAP
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
MIK
1 - 4
FFJ
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
FFJ
2 - 1
PK3
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
KOO
1 - 0
FFJ
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
KPV
4 - 0
FFJ
22%
22%
56%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
TPS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
JAP
2 - 1
TPS
30%
25%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
TPS
1 - 4
KOO
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 1
TPS
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
FCJ
1 - 1
TPS
23%
22%
56%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
TPS
2 - 1
KAP
67%
20%
14%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |