FF Jaro Pietarsaari vs KaPa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
1º
4º
2º
19
7º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 58 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
92% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 49 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
42% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 31 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 22 |
9º
|
91% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
92% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 9% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FF Jaro Pietarsaari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
KER
0 - 1
FFJ
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
OTP
0 - 3
FFJ
14%
19%
68%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
TPS
0 - 2
FFJ
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
VAA
5 - 1
FFJ
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
KUO
4 - 1
FFJ
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
KaPa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
KAP
1 - 1
SAL
42%
25%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
PHU
0 - 7
KAP
11%
14%
76%
|
46 | 11 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PK3
3 - 0
KAP
60%
22%
19%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
EKE
2 - 2
KAP
71%
16%
12%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GNI
3 - 2
KAP
70%
17%
13%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |