Fezzanese vs Novese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
58%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SET
2 - 0
FEZ
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FEZ
1 - 1
BOR
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ACQ
2 - 0
FEZ
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
FEZ
0 - 4
CAR
15%
20%
66%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
GOZ
5 - 0
FEZ
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Novese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
CAR
27%
26%
47%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BOR
1 - 2
NOV
62%
21%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
PIN
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
LIG
0 - 2
NOV
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |