Fezzanese vs Follonica Gavorrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
56.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VMO
0 - 1
FEZ
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FEZ
0 - 4
SAV
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
3 - 1
FEZ
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 1
USR
34%
23%
44%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
FEZ
4 - 4
FCV
24%
23%
53%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Follonica Gavorrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GAV
0 - 0
GRO
24%
24%
52%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
GHI
0 - 3
GAV
36%
23%
41%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
GAV
3 - 1
ARG
64%
19%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
1 - 1
GAV
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
GAV
2 - 4
GRO
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -1 |