Fezzanese vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
INV
3 - 1
FEZ
50%
21%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
FEZ
1 - 1
BOR
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
LEC
5 - 0
FEZ
65%
18%
17%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2018 |
FEZ
0 - 2
ASD
57%
21%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SES
1 - 0
FEZ
20%
21%
60%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 0
FOL
41%
27%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
FOL
3 - 1
LIG
45%
25%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
INV
1 - 1
FOL
51%
23%
25%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
FOL
1 - 1
BOR
59%
23%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LEC
1 - 0
FOL
62%
21%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |