Fezzanese vs Viareggio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
55.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FBC
3 - 2
FEZ
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 2
LAV
21%
22%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 3
FEZ
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
FEZ
1 - 3
GAV
22%
22%
56%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VMO
0 - 1
FEZ
76%
15%
10%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Viareggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2016 |
FCV
0 - 3
VMO
37%
25%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FCV
3 - 3
GRO
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
GHI
1 - 1
FCV
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 1
ARG
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LIG
3 - 1
FCV
22%
21%
57%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -2 |