Fezzanese vs Derthona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SES
1 - 0
FEZ
72%
18%
10%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FEZ
2 - 1
NOV
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
SET
2 - 0
FEZ
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
FEZ
1 - 1
BOR
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ACQ
2 - 0
FEZ
66%
19%
15%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Derthona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
DER
1 - 1
LAV
27%
27%
45%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
DER
1 - 0
BOR
22%
24%
53%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 1
DER
62%
22%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
DER
0 - 2
LIG
56%
22%
23%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 1
DER
75%
17%
8%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |