Fezzanese vs Castellazzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.8%
6.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fezzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
ASD
4 - 1
FEZ
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ARG
3 - 0
FEZ
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Castellazzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 2
PIN
11%
17%
72%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
VFC
12%
18%
71%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
VOG
2 - 2
CAS
82%
13%
5%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |