Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 5-4
Feyenoord vs Zorya Luhansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FEY
2 - 4
DED
89%
9%
2%
|
82 | 39 | 43 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 2
UTR
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
ZOR
1 - 1
FEY
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 1
SCH
51%
23%
26%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ADO
0 - 1
FEY
25%
25%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zorya Luhansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
KRE
0 - 2
ZOR
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
ZOR
1 - 1
FEY
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
0 - 0
ZOR
45%
28%
27%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
ZOR
1 - 0
ILL
54%
24%
21%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
MFK
1 - 2
ZOR
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |