Feyenoord vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
GRA
2 - 7
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
TWE
0 - 0
FEY
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
AZA
0 - 2
FEY
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
FEY
1 - 2
VIT
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ADO
2 - 0
FEY
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2005 |
WIL
3 - 1
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
RJC
4 - 0
WIL
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2005 |
GAE
0 - 1
WIL
45%
24%
32%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
WIL
0 - 3
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 0
WIL
44%
26%
31%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |