Feyenoord vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
VVV
4 - 3
FEY
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
FEY
1 - 1
AMS
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
VOL
1 - 0
FEY
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
FEY
1 - 1
TEL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
GAE
2 - 1
FEY
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
NEC
2 - 2
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 2
NEC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
NEC
0 - 1
UTR
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
AJA
6 - 1
NEC
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1978 |
NEC
1 - 1
HFC
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |