Feyenoord vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
4º
10º
4º
25
9º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 76 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 72 |
2º
|
49% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 66 |
3º
|
41% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 63 |
4º
|
32.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 61 |
5º
|
26% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 59 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 51 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 45 |
8º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 41 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 35 |
16º
|
23.5% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 26 |
17º
|
65.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 19 |
18º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
5.5% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
32.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
38% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 80.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
ALM
1 - 4
FEY
13%
19%
68%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
FEY
1 - 3
RBS
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FEY
3 - 2
AZA
47%
25%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FEY
0 - 2
AJA
39%
24%
38%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
UTR
0 - 2
FEY
36%
24%
41%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
GAE
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FOR
3 - 0
SCH
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
IJS
2 - 3
SCH
18%
19%
63%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 0
SPA
37%
24%
39%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NEC
3 - 0
SCH
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |