Feyenoord vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
FEY
53%
21%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
FEY
3 - 1
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
PSV
1 - 0
FEY
56%
23%
22%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
FEY
0 - 1
LPO
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
FEY
0 - 1
AZA
39%
24%
37%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 1
FEY
53%
21%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
GRO
2 - 3
SCH
38%
25%
37%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SPA
4 - 1
SCH
29%
24%
47%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2008 |
OPA
3 - 0
SCH
65%
19%
16%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
8%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | +1 |