Feyenoord vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
FEY
3 - 2
GRO
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
ADO
1 - 2
FEY
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 2
AJA
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1981 |
FEY
1 - 0
RAD
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
FEY
5 - 5
ZWO
85%
11%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
TWE
4 - 0
GRA
78%
14%
7%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
GRA
2 - 0
ZWO
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 2
GRA
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1981 |
HFC
3 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
GRA
0 - 3
AZA
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |